WASHINGTON
— Whit Ayres, a Republican political consultant here, likes to tell his
clients that there are “three keys to credibility.”
“One, never defend the indefensible,” he says. “Two, never deny the undeniable. And No. 3 is: Never lie.”
Would that politicians took his advice.
Fabrications
have long been a part of American politics. Politicians lie to puff
themselves up, to burnish their résumés and to cover up misdeeds,
including sexual affairs. (See: Bill Clinton.) Sometimes they cite false
information for what they believe are justifiable policy reasons. (See:
Lyndon Johnson and Vietnam.)
But
President Trump, historians and consultants in both political parties
agree, appears to have taken what the writer Hannah Arendt once called “the conflict between truth and politics” to an entirely new level.
From
his days peddling the false notion that former President Barack Obama
was born in Kenya, to his inflated claims about how many people attended
his inaugural, to his description just last week of receiving two phone
calls — one from the president of Mexico and another from the head of
the Boy Scouts — that never happened, Mr. Trump is trafficking in hyperbole, distortion and fabrication on practically a daily basis.
In
part, this represents yet another way that Mr. Trump is operating on
his own terms, but it also reflects a broader decline in standards of
truth for political discourse. A look at politicians over the past
half-century makes it clear that lying in office did not begin with Donald J. Trump.
Still, the scope of Mr. Trump’s falsehoods raises questions about
whether the brakes on straying from the truth and the consequences for
politicians’ being caught saying things that just are not true have
diminished over time.
One
of the first modern presidents to wrestle publicly with a lie was
Dwight D. Eisenhower in May 1960, when an American U-2 spy plane was
shot down while in Soviet airspace.
The
Eisenhower administration lied to the public about the plane and its
mission, claiming it was a weather aircraft. But when the Soviets
announced that the pilot had been captured alive, Eisenhower reluctantly
acknowledged that the plane had been on an intelligence mission — an
admission that shook him badly, the historian Doris Kearns Goodwin said.
“He
just felt that his credibility was such an important part of his person
and character, and to have that undermined by having to tell a lie was
one of the deepest regrets of his presidency,” Ms. Goodwin said.
In
the short run, Eisenhower was hurt; a summit meeting with the Soviet
leader Nikita Khrushchev collapsed in acrimony. But the public
eventually forgave him, Ms. Goodwin said, because he owned up to his
mistake.
In
1974, at the height of the Watergate scandal, President Richard M.
Nixon was accused of lying, obstructing justice and misusing the
Internal Revenue Service, among other agencies, and resigned rather than
face impeachment. Voters, accustomed to being able to trust
politicians, were disgusted. In 1976, Jimmy Carter won the presidency
after telling the public, “I’ll never lie to you.”
President
Clinton was impeached for perjury and obstruction in trying to cover up
his affair with an intern, Monica Lewinsky, during legal proceedings.
Chris Lehane, a former Clinton adviser, said Mr. Clinton’s second-term
agenda suffered during his impeachment, yet paradoxically his favorability ratings
remained high — in part, Mr. Lehane said, because “the public
distinguished between Clinton the private person and the public person.”
But
sometimes it’s easier to tell what’s false than what’s a lie. President
George W. Bush faced accusations that he and members of his
administration took America to war in Iraq based on false intelligence
about whether Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction. Mr. Bush
and his team emphasized and in some cases exaggerated elements of the
intelligence that bolstered the case while disregarding dissenting
information, leading critics to accuse them of lying. Among those who
said Mr. Bush had lied was Mr. Trump.
Over
the past two decades, institutional changes in American politics have
made it easier for politicians to lie. The proliferation of television
political talk shows and the rise of the internet have created a
fragmented media environment. With no widely acknowledged media
gatekeeper, politicians have an easier time distorting the truth.
And
in an era of hyper-partisanship, where politicians often are trying to
court voters at the extreme ends of the political spectrum, politicians
often lie with impunity. Even the use of the word “lie” in politics has
changed.
“There
was a time not long ago when you could not use the word ‘lie’ in a
campaign,” said Anita Dunn, once a communications director to Mr. Obama.
“It was thought to be too harsh, and it would backfire. So you had to
say they hadn’t been honest, or they didn’t tell the truth, or the facts
show something else, and even that was seen as hot rhetoric.”
With the rise of fact-checking websites, politicians are held accountable for their words. In 2013, the website PolitiFact
declared that Mr. Obama had uttered the “lie of the year” when he told
Americans that if they liked their health care plan they could keep it.
(Mr. Trump won “lie of the year” in 2015.)
“I thought it was unfair at the time, and I still think it’s unfair,” Ms. Dunn said, referring to Mr. Obama. Mr. Obama later apologized to people who were forced off their plans “despite assurances from me.”
On
the theory that politicians who get caught in lies put their
reputations at risk, Brendan Nyhan, a political scientist at Dartmouth
College (and contributor to The New York Times’s Upshot) and some
colleagues tried to study the effects of Mr. Trump’s misstatements
during last year’s presidential campaign.
In
a controlled experiment, researchers showed a group of voters a
misleading claim by Mr. Trump, while another group saw that claim
accompanied by “corrective information” that directly contradicted what
Mr. Trump had said. The group that viewed the corrections believed the
new information, but seeing it did not change how they viewed Mr. Trump.
“We
know politicians are risk averse. They try to minimize negative
coverage, and that negative coverage could damage their image over
time,” Mr. Nyhan said. “But the reputational consequences of making
false claims aren’t strong enough. They’re not sufficiently strong to
dissuade people from misleading the public.”
Of
course, lying to court voters is one thing, and lying to federal
prosecutors quite another. When Rod Blagojevich, the former governor of
Illinois, was accused of a long list of federal corruption counts
related to claims that he tried to sell Mr. Obama’s seat in the United
States Senate, he was asked quite directly about lying.
While
Mr. Blagojevich was testifying under oath, a prosecutor pressed him on
whether he made a habit, as a politician, of lying to the public. They
sparred over whether Mr. Blagojevich had fed a misleading story to a
local newspaper.
“That was a lie,” the prosecutor, Reid Schar, was quoted as saying.
Mr. Blagojevich refused to fess up. “That was a misdirection play in politics,” he answered.
He was sentenced to a 14-year prison term in 2011.
Joel Sawyer, a Republican strategist in South Carolina, said there were two ways for a politician to deal with deceit.
“One
is to never acknowledge it, which seems to have been employed pretty
successfully by our current president,” Mr. Sawyer said. “The second is
to rip the Band-Aid off and say: ‘I screwed up; here’s why. Give me
another chance, and I won’t disappoint you again.’”
Mr.
Sawyer worked for a politician — Mark Sanford, then the governor of
South Carolina — who took the latter approach. On a June weekend in
2009, Mr. Sanford slipped out of the South Carolina capitol and flew to
Buenos Aires to be with his lover, but told his staff that he had gone
hiking on the Appalachian Trail. His aides, including Mr. Sawyer,
unknowingly passed the lie on to reporters.
Mr. Sanford later apologized profusely. Voters eventually rewarded him; today he serves in Congress.
Many
of Mr. Trump’s lies — like the time he boasted that he had made the
“all-time record in the history of Time Magazine” for being on its cover
so often — are somewhat trivial, and “basically about him polishing his
ego,” said John Weaver, a prominent Republican strategist.
That
mystifies Bob Ney, a Republican former congressman who spent time in
prison for accepting illegal gifts from a lobbyist, Jack Abramoff, and
lying to federal investigators about it. “It really baffles me why he
has to feel compelled to exaggerate to exonerate himself,” Mr. Ney said.
But other presidential lies, like Mr. Trump’s false claim
that millions of undocumented immigrants had cast ballots for his
opponent in the 2016 election, are far more substantive, and pose a
threat, scholars say, that his administration will build policies around
them.
The glaring difference between Mr. Trump and his predecessors is the sheer magnitude of falsehoods and exaggerations; PolitiFact rates
just 20 percent of the statements it reviewed as true, and a total of
69 percent either mostly false, false or “Pants on Fire.” That leaves
scholars like Ms. Goodwin to wonder whether Mr. Trump, in elevating the
art of political fabrication, has forever changed what Americans are
willing to tolerate from their leaders.
“What’s
different today and what’s scarier today is these lies are pointed out,
and there’s evidence that they’re wrong,” she said. “And yet because of
the attacks on the media, there are a percentage of people in the
country who are willing to say, ‘Maybe he is telling the truth.’”
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