By Jon Schwarz
Washington is all abuzz with rumors about the fate of Robert
Mueller, the special counsel appointed to examine “any links and/or
coordination” between Russia and the 2016 Trump campaign.
According to some reporting,
Donald Trump’s allies believe he will have a “meltdown” and try to fire
Mueller if the special counsel does not quickly wrap up the
investigation and exonerate the president. (It wouldn’t be a simple procedure
for Trump to get rid of Mueller, but if he’s determined to do so, he
almost certainly can.) Meanwhile, elected Republicans and conservative
news outlets are obsessively attacking Mueller in a clear bid to lay the groundwork for Trump to pardon any of his subordinates convicted on charges growing out of the Russia probe.
But one thing’s for sure: If Trump does take some kind of outrageous
action against Mueller, the Republican Party will mumble, look down at
its shoes, and then do nothing whatsoever. Earlier this year there was
momentum among a small number of GOP lawmakers
to join with Democrats to pass legislation protecting Mueller, but
that’s quietly petered out. There may be some opposition from some
Republicans, but the odds of it being enough to stop Trump are quite
low.
If this occurs it should come as no surprise to anyone. It’s simply
the logical endpoint of decades of effort by the Republican Party and
its media penumbra to shield the GOP from the rule of law or any small-D
democratic norms. Today’s GOP sees any and all rules just as
billionaire New York real estate developer Leona Helmsley saw taxes –
they’re only for “the little people.”
There’s always been a significant faction of the U.S. right, rooted
mostly in large corporations, that’s similar to the right in Latin
America, in that it genuinely sees democracy as illegitimate. The
success of Franklin D. Roosevelt during the 1930s was a gigantic shock
to their system, and there were two small scale efforts
by Wall Street and big business to overthrow Roosevelt via military
coup.
Meanwhile, John Foster Dulles, a powerful corporate lawyer who
later became secretary of state during the Eisenhower administration, told his clients
facings new government restrictions: “Do not comply. Resist the law
with all your might, and soon everything will be all right.”
Dulles was wrong. From the viewpoint of conservatives, things did not
get “all right” anytime soon. The New Deal was such a stunning
political success that, starting with Roosevelt’s election in 1932,
Democrats held the majority in the House of Representatives for 58 of
the next 62 years until 1994. Democrats controlled the more-aristocratic
Senate almost as firmly during the same period, for 52 years, and even
managed to gain the presidency for a majority of that time. They
provided an imperfect but real check on the right’s dream of rolling
back the 20th century and returning the U.S. to the late 1800s.
But Dulles and company handed their commitment to massive resistance
down to their ideological descendants. And soon enough it erupted
spectacularly during the presidency of Richard Nixon.
There was an enormous amount of liberal self-congratulation after the
Watergate investigation and Nixon’s resignation. The system worked! But
that was true only in the sense that the system worked when Al Capone
was convicted of tax evasion. And even that comparison isn’t quite
accurate: Americans, at least, were aware of Capone’s bigger crimes.
By contrast, Nixon’s most monstrous misconduct remains largely unknown, even today. It’s now proven
that during the 1968 campaign he directly ordered his underlings to
collude with a foreign power – South Vietnam – to prevent a peace deal
that could have ended the Vietnam War. His motive was the most craven
imaginable: He was worried that peace might help his opponent, Hubert
Humphrey. Instead, Nixon won the presidency and in 1973 signed a treaty
on essentially the same terms available five years earlier. Tens of
thousands of Americans, as well as hundreds of thousands of people
across Indochina, died thanks to what can without hyperbole be called
treason by Nixon.
Then there’s Nixon’s “secret” bombing of Cambodia, during which the U.S. dropped 2.7 million tons of explosives
– more than had been used by the Allies during all of World War II – on
one of the poorest countries on earth. This was a blatant violation of
the U.N. Charter and hence of the U.S.
Constitution, yet the House
Judiciary Committee rejected an article of impeachment
condemning it. This left the Nixon administration’s preposterous legal
justification available for the Obama administration to cite over 40 years later as vindication for drone strikes in countries with which the U.S. is not at war.
Instead Nixon was nailed for quite real fraud, bribery and
obstruction of justice. But the committee’s Bill of Particulars, which describes
Nixon soliciting campaign contributions from McDonald’s in return for
letting them raise the price of a quarter pounder cheeseburger, does
make it all seem, in the scheme of things, like small potatoes.
While the Watergate investigation has been portrayed as a proud
moment of bipartisan commitment to America’s glorious ideals, this is
nearly the opposite of the truth. Nixon would unquestionably have evaded
punishment if Republicans rather than Democrats had controlled
Congress.
Even with Democrats in charge, the first congressional attempt to
look into it, led by populist Rep. Wright Patman, was effectively killed
by Gerald Ford, who at the time was the House Republican leader. (While
Ford claimed he was only doing this because of a belief in good governance, he almost certainly was acting on Nixon’s orders.)
Then there’s Howard Baker, the top Republican on the Senate Watergate
Committee. Baker has long been celebrated for asking, “What did the
president know, and when did he know it?” But Baker was actually asking
that in an attempt to protect Nixon,
and secretly met with Nixon to provide him with intelligence about the
committee’s activities. The glowing reviews for Fred Thompson, then the
committee’s minority counsel and later a GOP senator from Tennessee, are also a myth.
Meanwhile, Republicans engaged in their now-familiar cut-and-paste attacks on the press. Nixon’s press secretary declared
in 1972 that “I use the term shoddy journalism, shabby journalism, and
I’ve used the term character assassination. … This is a political effort
by the Washington Post, well-conceived and coordinated, to discredit
this administration.” The purported coordination, of course, was
supposedly with George McGovern, Nixon’s opponent that year.
In the end, only a third
of the 17 Republicans on the House Judiciary Committee voted for the
three successful articles of impeachment. And even they largely did not
do so out of any kind of high-mindedness. Rather, by 1974 the economy
had collapsed — characters in the movie “Network,” made during this
period, repeatedly refer to “the depression” — taking Nixon’s popularity
with it.
So with a slightly different roll of history’s dice, Nixon might have
skated. But he didn’t. At that point Republicans could have taken one
of two lessons from the experience: either “Don’t commit impeachable
offenses” or “Build walls to protect yourself when you commit
impeachable offenses … and get revenge.” They went with door number two.
It was during the Nixon administration that Roger Ailes developed
what he called “A Plan for Putting the GOP on TV News.” Eventually this
would become Fox News, and give Ailes the power to generate a
self-contained alternate reality for the Republican grassroots. The
right’s other area of vulnerability was the courts, which had repeatedly
ruled against Nixon. The so-called “Powell memo,”
which laid down the blueprint for the right’s counteroffensive of the
last 40 years, emphasized that “the judiciary may be the most important
instrument for social, economic and political change.” Ever since, the
right has made an enormous investment in shaping the Supreme Court as
well as lower courts, in particular the critical U.S. Court of Appeals
for the District of Columbia.
At the same time, the Democratic Party was undergoing a peculiar
cultural shift that’s led them to celebrate losing honorably for the
good of the country. This was in fact the exact language of Clark
Clifford, one of the “wise men” surrounding Lyndon Johnson when his
administration discovered Nixon’s appalling Vietnam chicanery just
before the 1968 election. Clifford successfully argued to Johnson
that “some elements of the story are so shocking in their nature that
I’m wondering whether it would be good for the country to disclose the
story … It could cast [Nixon’s] whole administration under such doubts
that I would think it would be inimical to our country’s interests.” Top
Democrats, including Johnson, Clifford, Secretary of State Dean Rusk,
and National Security Adviser Walt Rostow generously took Nixon’s secret
with them to their graves.
The same perspective caused Democrats to meekly accept a new status
quo when it came to special counsels. Incredibly enough, there hasn’t
been a significant investigation headed by a special counsel who’s a Democrat
since Nixon fired Archibald Cox in 1973. Democrats have internalized a
heads-you-win-tails-I-lose belief that an investigation of a Republican
administration can’t be handled by a Democrat, whereas one investigating
a Democratic administration must be conducted by a Republican. The same
goes for the head of the FBI: Every single one in the bureau’s history,
including three appointed by Democratic presidents, has been a
Republican.
For their part, the elite print and broadcast media accepted the
right’s critique that they were – as huge profit-driven corporations
naturally tend to be – horribly liberal. This made them uncomfortable
with their own power, and they decided not to use it against
Republicans. Ben Bradlee, editor of the Washington Post during
Watergate, explained in his autobiography that he “began to feel subconsciously that what the world did not need right away was another investigation that might again threaten the foundations of democracy. What the newspaper did not
need right away was another fight to the finish with another president —
especially a Republican president. [emphasis in original]”
This dynamic — an aggressive GOP versus a Democratic Party and media
both terrified of getting two for flinching – has only accelerated since.
During the Iran-Contra affair of the mid-1980s, Ronald Reagan almost
certainly committed impeachable offenses. Specifically, he had, in
violation of the Arms Control Act, approved the sale of weapons to Iran
in 1985. After the story broke, the independent counsel named to
investigate it was Lawrence Walsh, a stalwart Republican who’d
previously been appointed to various high-level positions during the
Eisenhower and Nixon administrations.
It didn’t matter. As it became clear that Reagan was vulnerable, and
his underlings had engaged in a massive cover up to protect him, Walsh
was ferociously attacked
by his own party. The Wall Street Journal and the Washington Times
denounced him, as did members of the mainstream media anxious to
demonstrate that they’d turned over a new, less-liberal leaf.
By the end of 1992, Walsh had discovered that Reagan’s successor,
George H.W. Bush, had likely committed his own impeachable crimes while
concealing his role in the scandal. But Bush, on his way out the door
after losing to Bill Clinton, pardoned six convicted or indicted
Iran-Contra defendants. “George Bush’s misuse of the pardon power,”
Walsh later wrote, “made the cover up complete.”
But if Republicans were certain that Republican presidents were
innocent, they knew that Clinton, as a Democrat, was inherently guilty.
All they needed to do was figure out exactly why.
The New York Times got the ball rolling with its preposterous
coverage of the Whitewater scandal – which did indeed involve minor
crimes, but none committed by Bill or Hillary Clinton. Republicans
seized upon Whitewater to demand an independent counsel.
Clinton’s attorney general, Janet Reno, chose Robert Fiske, a
Republican who’d been appointed U.S. District Attorney by Gerald Ford.
Unfortunately, Fiske failed to produce the right results: The Clintons
had not improperly tried to influence bank regulators in Arkansas, nor
had they murdered White House counsel Vince Foster. The Wall Street
Journal decried “The Fiske Cover Up.”
There was only one solution: another, more disciplined Republican
independent counsel. Two GOP-appointed judges from the U.S. Court of
Appeals for the District of Columbia replaced Fiske with Kenneth Starr.
Starr produced results after a mere four years, having somehow expanded
the Whitewater investigation to cover Bill Clinton’s affair with Monica
Lewinsky. Clinton’s impeachment was overseen by Newt Gingrich and Dennis
Hastert, an enthusiastic adulterer and child molester, respectively.
(The Whitewater probe was eventually wrapped up in 2003, nine years
after it started, by a third Republican counsel, Robert Ray.)
Next up was the 2000 election. It’s been totally forgotten now, but
in the week before the vote, the George W. Bush campaign became worried
Bush might win the popular vote while losing the electoral college. They
therefore laid plans to grab the presidency with national demonstrations demanding that Al Gore bow to the clearly expressed will of the people.
Gore was even preemptively condemned for his selfishness. Ray LaHood,
a Republican member of the House from Illinois, declared that it “would
be an outrage” if Gore assumed office under such circumstances. Chris
Matthews also felt strongly, saying that
“knowing him as we do, [Gore] may have no problem taking the
presidential oath after losing the popular vote to George W. Bush.”
Of course, exactly the opposite happened. Bush officially won Florida
and the electoral college when the Supreme Court halted the Florida
recount in a 5-4 decision. The five members of the majority were all
chosen by Republican presidents, while two of the dissenters were GOP
appointees and two had been picked by Clinton. Gore immediately and obediently conceded.
A full examination published in November 2001 found that under every possible standard Gore would have won Florida if all the votes had been counted. The Washington Post published a story about this on page A10.
By then Matthews and LaHood had both long lost interest in this
subject. Matthews, who said that he’d voted for Bush, became a star on
the liberal MSNBC. Nine years afterward in 2009, President Obama named
LaHood secretary of transportation.
Within a few years, Bush was embroiled in the Valerie Plame scandal.
Patrick Fitzgerald was appointed by James Comey, then-deputy attorney
general, to investigate. While Comey was a Republican, Fitzgerald, in a
scandalous anomaly, was not. He wasn’t a Democrat, of course; he was
just an independent.
He was also loudly slurred as unconscionably biased.
Bill Kristol, the neocon leader, pronounced that “the whole
prosecution is absurd” because Fitzpatrick “is now out to discredit the
Bush administration.” William Safire called him “a runaway Chicago
prosecutor,” while CNN’s Lou Dobbs said Fitzgerald was engaging in “an
onerous, disgusting abuse of government power.” Four months after Bush
administration official Scooter Libby was convicted of multiple counts
of perjury and obstruction of justice, Bush commuted his sentence.
That brings us to today and the Mueller investigation, with
the GOP going further than ever before. It goes without saying that
Mueller, a Republican appointed by a Republican deputy attorney general
who in turn was appointed by a Republican president, is running an
investigation that’s incredibly unfair to Republicans. Fox’s Jesse
Watters has been making the case
that it is in fact “a coup” aiming to destroy Trump “for partisan
political purposes and to disenfranchise millions of American voters.”
For her part, Fox’s Jeanine Pirro believes
that “the only thing that remains is whether we have the fortitude to
not just fire these people immediately, but to take them out in cuffs.”
Trump himself has referred to the FBI, one of the most notoriously
conservative government agencies, as constituting a “rigged system” — rigged against him – whose “reputation is in Tatters.”
So, it’s almost impossible to imagine Trump being forced to pay any
price by fellow Republicans. The GOP has spent 43 years constructing an
enormous network of well-funded, committed defenders in Congress, the
courts and the media. This in turn has allowed them to live in a mental
universe in which they cannot do wrong, and therefore any attempts to
impose restrictions on them are morally outrageous. The system is now
working at full throttle. As Bruce Bartlett, a former Reagan and H.W.
Bush staffer, and current GOP heretic, forlornly says, if Watergate happened today, “Nixon would have finished his term.”
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