By The Editorial Board
It seems that
last year’s $1.5 trillion tax-cut package, despite heavily favoring
affluent investors and corporate titans over workers of modest means,
was insufficiently generous to the wealthy to satisfy certain members of
the Trump administration. So now Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin
offers an exciting plan to award an additional $100 billion tax cut to the richest Americans.
Specifically,
Mr. Mnuchin has directed his department to explore allowing investors
to take inflation into account when calculating their capital gains tax
bill. (Instead of determining how much value a stock had gained by
subtracting its selling price from its original purchase price,
investors would first adjust the purchase price to reflect what it would
be in inflation-adjusted dollars.) Fans of the move argue that it would
benefit the wide swath of middle-class Americans who own stocks, along
with all those older Americans whose homes have appreciated in value
over the decades. And, indeed, many middle-class Americans could wind up
with a sliver of savings. But not all investors are equal.
Independent analyses say that a whopping 97 percent
of the savings from Mr. Mnuchin’s plan would go to the highest 10
percent of income earners. (For the severely math challenged, that would
leave a paltry 3 percent to be divvied up by the remaining 90 percent
of the country.) Two-thirds of all savings would go to the top 0.1 percent of income earners.
So
in rough dollar terms, the administration is looking to hand $66
billion-plus to the ultrarich like — just to name a few — Mr. Mnuchin,
who did very, very well during his years at Goldman Sachs (and already
has a net worth estimated at $252 million); Wilbur Ross, the loaded
secretary of commerce (estimated net worth: $506.5 million); Betsy
DeVos, the even richer secretary of education (about $1.1 billion); and,
of course, the extended Trump-Kushner clan. (To be sure, Ivanka Trump
could use a financial pick-me-up to help take the sting out of having to
close down her clothing brand.)
Thus die the final vestiges of this president’s pretty little narrative about being a populist hero.
Hard-core economic conservatives and anti-tax activists have long pushed to index capital gains taxes for inflation under the dubious argument that it would bolster the overall economy. Unsurprisingly,
this crusade has failed to catch fire in Congress, where even anti-tax
lawmakers can be skittish about so blatantly playing to the plutocrats.
But
here’s where Mr. Mnuchin’s plan is so politically inspired. He hopes to
cut Congress out of this deal altogether by declaring it a regulatory
matter and allowing Treasury to unilaterally redefine the term “cost.”
No need to subject this process to the messiness of the legislative
process when it is so much more efficient to claim jurisdiction for
oneself and change the meaning of words to suit one’s purpose. Behold
Trumpian logic at its purest.
One potential sticking point is that Mr. Mnuchin’s proposal may not be, strictly speaking, legal. Congress has never authorized
the Treasury Department to interpret tax law in the bizarre way the
secretary is advocating. And the last time such a possibility was
floated, in 1992, President George Bush’s Justice Department shot it
down with extreme prejudice. The department’s Office of Legal Counsel
went so far as to issue a 23-page opinion
laying out in excruciating detail why the Treasury Department does not
have the legal authority to index capital gains for inflation by means
of regulation.
So there’s that.
But
the Trump administration isn’t one to fret about legal niceties when
pursuing its pet projects. It much prefers to plow forward and let the
court challenges shake out as they will. You win some. (Think travel
ban, eventually, after multiple revisions.) You lose some. (Snatching
migrant kids from their families at the border.) But as the adage goes,
it’s easier to ask for forgiveness than permission.
Mr.
Mnuchin may well figure that the risk is worth the potential gain for
himself, his wealthy friends and, more broadly, members of the
Republican Party’s donor class who might very well show their gratitude
by channeling some of their tax savings into party coffers. Besides, a
case like this could take a while to wend its way through the courts,
and who knows how many millions could be saved in the meantime.
Beyond pure greed and a desire to suck
up to the 0.1 percent, it’s hard to see any real-world logic behind this
move. As political messaging goes, it seems flat-out bonkers to
position Republicans as the party of the superrich — especially during a
critical midterm election campaign with control of both houses of
Congress on the line.
But
at this point, President Trump may have decided that it doesn’t much
matter what economic policies he pursues so long as he can keep the base
distracted and fired up with his relentless culture warring. (Build the
wall! Lock her up! Gorsuch! Kavanaugh! Stand for the anthem or be
fired!) In early 2016, candidate Trump famously boasted that he “could
stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody” and not lose any
voters. Since becoming president, he has been given little cause by his
base — or by Republicans in Congress — to doubt his political
infallibility. As such, with Mr. Mnuchin’s proposal, as with so many
other moves undertaken by this administration, Mr. Trump’s thinking may
boil down to little more than, “Why the heck not?”
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