By Mehdi Hasan
Bernie Sanders, now the most popular politician in the United States
by a country mile, has long been obsessed with breaking up big banks
and getting Medicare for all Americans. He can speak for hours about the
evils of income inequality and the grotesquerie of the “billionaire
class.”
On foreign policy? Not so much.
Yet this
week, the independent senator from Vermont finally delivered his major
foreign affairs speech at Westminster College, in Fulton, Missouri, part
of the Green Foundation Lecture series. Winston Churchill gave his “Sinews of Peace” speech
at Westminster College — in which he famously introduced the world to
the concept of “The Iron Curtain” — as part of this lecture series in
1946. Mikhail Gorbachev’s memorable 1992 account
of how the Cold War ended was also part of this series. Thus, on the
basis of his appearance in Fulton, you might say that Sanders is now
playing in the Foreign Policy Big Leagues.
Beforehand, he sat down with me to talk through his thinking on global affairs.
“I think what we have to do is take a
hard look at where we are today in terms of foreign policy, and where we
have been for many years,” Sanders tells me when I go to meet with him
in his Senate office in Washington, D.C. the day before his big speech
in Missouri. “And I think the main point to be made is that no country,
not the United States or any other country, can do it alone. That if
we’re going to address the very deep and complicated international
issues that exist, we need to do it in cooperation.”
The senator is tieless, in a crumpled
navy suit and light blue shirt. His shock of white hair is, as usual,
unruly. He looks distracted and exhausted, perhaps the result of having
spent the previous week pitching his landmark Medicare for All single-payer bill to Congress and to the country.
“Many of my colleagues, Republican
colleagues, here in the Senate, for example, disparage the United
Nations,” he says, sitting across the table from me, in front of a wall
of Vermont tourism posters. “While clearly the United Nations could be
more effective, it is imperative that we strengthen international
institutions, because at the end of the day, while it may not be sexy,
it may not be glamorous, it may not allow for great soundbites, simply
the idea … of people coming together and talking and arguing is a lot
better than countries going to war.”
I ask him how such rhetoric differs
from past statements in defense of the U.N. and of international
cooperation offered by leading Democrats, such as Barack Obama, Hillary
Clinton, and John Kerry.
“Excuse me.” Sanders doesn’t like to be interrupted. “Let me just talk a little bit about where I want to go.”
The senator makes clear that
“unilateralism, the belief that we can simply overthrow governments that
we don’t want, that has got to be re-examined.” After referencing the
Iraq War — “one of the great foreign policy blunders in the history of
this country” — the senator touches on another historic blunder which,
to his credit, few of his fellow senators would be willing to discuss,
let alone critique. “In 1953, the United States, with the British,
overthrew [Mohammed] Mossadegh, the prime minister of Iran – and this
was to benefit British oil interests,” he reminds me. “The result was
the shah came into power, who was a very ruthless man, and the result of
that was that we had the Iranian Revolution, which takes us to where we
are right now.”
Does he regret not speaking with such
passion, bluntness, and insight on international affairs during his
failed primary campaign against Clinton? He shakes his head. “No, I
think we ran the kind of campaign that we wanted to run.” There’s a
pause. “But I think that foreign policy is clearly very, very
important.”
During the Democratic presidential primaries, politicians and pundits alike agreed that Sanders had a foreign policy deficit. “Foreign policy,” wrote David Ignatius,
the Washington Post’s foreign affairs doyen, “is the hole in Sanders’s
political doughnut.” Patrick Leahy, Sanders’s fellow senator from
Vermont, was only a tad more diplomatic in an interview with the New York Times. “It’s not the subject he gravitates to, that’s fair to say,” acknowledged Leahy.
A long-promised set piece speech on foreign policy during the campaign never came, and the Sanders campaign website lacked a foreign policy page
for the first few months of his candidacy. Some of the figures
identified by the senator as outside advisers on national security
issues later claimed to hardly know him.
His discomfort with the topic is
palpable, but the truth is that the 76-year-old Sanders is far from a
foreign policy neophyte. In the 1980s, as mayor of Burlington, Vermont,
he was an outspoken critic
of U.S. interventions in Latin America, becoming the highest-ranking
elected U.S. official to visit Nicaragua and meet with President Daniel
Ortega (which earned him the soubriquet “Sandernista”). He even went on honeymoon to the Soviet Union in 1988, as part of his effort to establish a sister city program between Burlington and Yaroslavl.
Since 1991, Sanders has served in
Congress, as a member of the House and then the Senate, debating and
voting on military action, foreign treaties, trade deals, arms sales,
international aid, and climate change agreements. Few critics have
paused to consider the fact that a President Sanders would have arrived
in the White House in January 2017 with far more foreign policy
experience under his belt than Obama, George W. Bush, and Bill Clinton.
(Oh, and of course former reality TV star Donald J. Trump.)
Nevertheless the impression persists
that Sanders is out of his depth when it comes to the outside world.
Perhaps in anticipation of another presidential bid in three years time,
the Vermont senator has been taking steps to correct that impression.
So far this year, Sanders has hired Matt Duss,
a respected foreign affairs analyst and former president of the
Foundation for Middle East Peace (FMEP), as his foreign policy adviser,
and has given speeches at the liberal Jewish lobbying group, J Street,
where he condemned
“Israel’s continued occupation of Palestinian territories” as being
“contrary to fundamental American values,” and at the centrist Carnegie
Endowment of International Peace, where he rebuked Russian President Vladimir Putin for “trying to weaken the transatlantic alliance.”
Last week, my colleague Glenn Greenwald penned a column in The Intercept headlined, “The Clinton Book Tour Is Largely Ignoring the Vital Role of Endless War in the 2016 Election Result.” Greenwald
argued that Clinton’s “advocacy of multiple wars and other military
actions” pushed some swing voters into the arms of both Donald Trump and
third-party candidates, such as Jill Stein. I ask Sanders whether he
agrees with this analysis.
“I mean, that’s a whole other issue. And I don’t know the answer to that.”
I persist. Surely he’d concede that foreign policy was a factor in Clinton’s defeat?
He doesn’t budge. “I want to talk about my speech, not about Hillary Clinton.”
So foreign policy plays no role in elections?
“The answer is, I don’t know,” he
responds wearily. “You can argue that somebody would say, ‘Well Bernie
Sanders was too soft on defense, I’m not gonna vote for him because he’s
not prepared to bomb every country in the world.’ Do you know how many
voters I’ve lost because of that? We don’t know, that’s speculation.”
(Not quite: Greenwald cited an academic study
published earlier this year which argued “that had the U.S. fought
fewer wars, or at least experienced fewer casualties, Clinton would have
… won the election.”)
I ask him if there is a foreign policy
equivalent to Medicare for All — that is, a radical progressive policy
proposal that Sanders intends to campaign on and make mainstream.
“I wouldn’t look at it like that,” he
tells me. “Anyone who thinks there is a simple solution in dealing with
all of the horrific and longstanding conflicts in the world would be
mistaken … Where we’ve got to be radical is to understand we cannot
continue with simply using military as a means of addressing foreign
policy issues.”
Despite once having hung a picture of legendary antiwar activist Eugene Debs
in his congressional office, Sanders is not a pacifist. He backed
NATO’s air campaign in Kosovo in 1999 and the U.S.-led invasion and
occupation of Afghanistan in 2001. Yet he opposed the Iraq War and voted against
the arming and training of Syrian rebels. So, I wonder, does he have
his own test that has to be met before the United States should use
force?
The senator makes it clear to me that,
in his view, military action should be a last resort, except in cases
of genocide. “I think there has to be a legitimate understanding that
American interests are being threatened. Obviously if someone was going
to wage war against the United States, attack the United States, there
is very good reason to respond.” He continues: “When you’re looking at
genocidal situations, where people are being slaughtered right and left …
we need international peacekeeping force to address that.”
Earlier this week, the president of the United States made what some might call a genocidal threat
at the U.N. in New York: “If [the U.S.] is forced to defend itself or
its allies, we will have no choice but to totally destroy North Korea.”
I remind the senator that both Obama and Trump
came to office pledging to meet with their North Korean counterparts —
yet Obama never did while Trump is now busy mocking Kim Jong-un as “Rocket Man.” Does Sanders think a meeting between the two heads of state would be of value?
The senator says he would not object
to “face-to-face meetings done in good faith” — rather than as cynical
photo opportunities — and says that “in general, discussions and
face-to-face meetings” are worthy of support.
So, to be clear, would he support a
U.S. president sitting down with the leader of North Korea to try and
resolve the nuclear crisis? He shrugs. “Could I see that? Yeah, I could
see that, yeah.”
One foreign policy issue, however, on which Sanders has attracted criticism
from members of his own left-wing base is the Israel-Palestine
conflict. Some pro-Palestinian progressives have accused him of giving
Israel a pass. In an interview in April, for example, Sanders dismissed the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions movement; he also signed his name to a controversial letter attacking the U.N. for having an “anti-Israel agenda.”
Nonetheless, it is undeniable that in recent years the Vermont senator, who is Jewish and briefly lived on a kibbutz
in Israel in the 1960s, has taken a more pro-Palestinian position on
the conflict and, specifically, against the right-wing government of
Benjamin Netanyahu. “There comes a time when … we are going to have to
say that Netanyahu is not right all of the time,” he told Clinton during a Democratic primary debate in April 2016.
These days, unlike other members of Congress, Sanders has no qualms about identifying, and decrying,
the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza. But does he accept
that the United States is complicit in Israel’s occupation, through its
military aid and arms sales? And does he also accept, therefore, that
the occupation of the Palestinian territories will never end until the
U.S. stops arming and funding the Jewish state?
“Certainly the United States is
complicit, but it’s not to say … that Israel is the only party at
fault,” he tells me. However, he adds, “in terms of Israeli-Palestinian
relations the United States has got to play a much more even-handed
role. Clearly that is not the case right now.”
Would he, therefore, ever consider voting to reduce U.S. aid to Israel — worth at least $3bn per annum — or U.S. arms sales to the Israeli military?
“The U.S. funding plays a very
important role, and I would love to see people in the Middle East sit
down with the United States government and figure out how U.S. aid can
bring people together, not just result in an arms war in that area. So I
think there is extraordinary potential for the United States to help
the Palestinian people rebuild Gaza and other areas. At the same time,
demand that Israel, in their own interests in a way, work with other
countries on environmental issues.” He then, finally, answers my
question: “So the answer is yes.”
It is — by the depressingly low
standard of modern U.S. politics — a remarkable and, dare I say it,
radical response from Sanders. “Aid to Israel in Congress and the
pro-Israel community has been sacrosanct,” the Jewish Telegraphic Agency noted earlier this year, “and no president has seriously proposed cutting it since Gerald Ford in the mid-1970s.”
Jeremy Corbyn, the left-wing Labour Party leader in the United Kingdom, who is constantly compared to Sanders, grabbed headlines in May after urging Britons in a speech,
to “be brave enough to admit the war on terror is simply not working”
and to draw “connections between wars our government has supported or
fought in other countries and terrorism here at home.” In the past, the
Labour leader has labelled NATO a “danger to world peace” and called for engagement with groups, such as the Irish Republican Army, Hezbollah, and Hamas.
You might say Corbyn is a genuine
radical on foreign policy. Is the more cautious Sanders willing to match
the Labour leader’s rhetoric on terrorism and the West’s response to
terrorism? Does he, for example, think the United States has lost the
so-called war on terror?
“Well, no, that’s too general of a
question,” he replies dismissively. “I think you best deal with
terrorism by trying to understand the root causes of those problems: the
massive poverty that exists, the lack of education that exists, that
when you drop a drone, for example, that kills innocent men, women, and
child, that it only forms more antagonism toward the United States.”
I ask about the role of Saudi Arabia
in allegedly supporting and funding terrorism. Fifteen of the 19
hijackers, lest we forget, were Saudi citizens. So is it an ally or
enemy of the United States?
“It is not just that many of the 9/11
bombers came from Saudi Arabia,” he says, “what I think is more
significant is their … continuing to fund madrasas and to spread an
extremely radical Wahhabi doctrine in many countries around the world.
And they are funding these mosques, they’re funding the madrasas, and
they are fomenting a lot of hatred.”
Sanders wants the United States to
pivot away from blind, uncritical support for the Gulf kingdom. He even
seems to suggest that the United States should embrace the Saudis’
mortal enemy: the Iranians.
So could this
be his foreign policy equivalent of Medicare for All? Trying to end
almost four decades of hostility and mistrust between the United States
of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran? Without firing a shot? It
would be a dramatic and historic shift in approach. During the
presidential primaries, Sanders was attacked for suggesting that the U.S. should “move as aggressively as we can to normalize relations with Iran.”
Yet, almost two years later, he isn’t
afraid to make the case again. “I think that one of the areas that we
have got to rethink, in terms of American foreign policy, is our
position vis-a-vis Iran and Saudi Arabia,” he tells me, leaning forward
in his chair. “For whatever reason — and I think we know some of the
reasons having to do with a three-letter word called oil — the United
States has kind of looked aside at the fact that Saudi Arabia is an
incredibly anti-democratic country and has played a very bad role
internationally, but we have sided with them time and time and time
again, and yet Iran, which just held elections, Iran whose young people
really want to reach out to the West, we are … continuing to put them
down.”
While Sanders has “legitimate concerns
… about Iran’s foreign policy” he wants a more “even-handed” approach
from the United States to the “Iran and Saudi conflict.”
So I try to pin him down on the nature
of the U.S.-Saudi relationship and ask again: Does he or does he not
consider Saudi Arabia to be ally of the United States in the so-called
war on terror?
He pauses. “Do I consider them an
ally? I consider them to be an undemocratic country that has supported
terrorism around the world, it has funded terrorism, so I can’t … No,
they are not an ally of the United States.”
Wait, maybe this
is the foreign policy Medicare For All — downgrading diplomatic ties
with one of the world’s worst regimes. Distancing Washington from
Riyadh. But could Sanders really pull it off? Help persuade his fellow
senators, on both sides of the aisle to depart from the decades-long
bipartisan consensus on Saudi Arabia as a key U.S. ally? In June, the
senator joined four Republicans and 42 Democrats to try and block a $510
million sale of precision-guided munitions to Saudi Arabia. They were
defeated — but by only six votes.
Greeted by a cheering crowd of students Thursday and awarded an
honorary degree by the college in advance of his speech, a stern Sanders
denounced the
global war on terror as “a disaster for the American people” because it
“responds to terrorists by giving them exactly what they want.”
He also offered a rousing defense of Obama’s key foreign affairs
legacy: the Iran nuclear deal. “We must protect this deal,” Sanders told
his audience, citing the nuclear agreement as an example of “real
leadership” on the part of the United States.
Over the course of an hour on Thursday, the independent senator
offered an unashamedly progressive, diplomacy-oriented, non-militarized
vision of U.S. foreign policy in the 21st century: “The goal is not for
the United States to dominate the world. … Our goal should be global
engagement based on partnership, rather than dominance.
At a time when the U.S. president is beating the drums of war, threatening to “totally destroy” North Korea and tear up
the Iran nuclear deal, it is both refreshing and admirable to hear a
leading U.S. politician speak in this direct way. Sanders tells me that
he wants a “serious discussion about foreign policy” — which,
shamefully, is something his Democratic colleagues in the Senate have
yet to agree to. For example, he points to a vote in the Senate
on Monday, which authorized a whopping $80 billion annual increase in
Pentagon spending. “Is that really a wise investment?” he asks.
“I dare say,” he adds acidly, “that
most of the people who voted for this huge increase in military spending
really would not be able to tell you exactly why it is needed.”
Only four Senate Democrats joined Sanders to vote against the bill. Why does he think the rest of them voted for it?
“You’ll have to ask them,” is the curt rejoinder.
Some of his critics on the left, however, don’t think Sanders goes far enough. Writing in July, Jacobin’s Branko Marcetic
castigated Sanders over his “relative silence on Obama’s foreign
policy” and his “fairly conventional foreign policy thinking throughout
his Washington career.” Such critics tend to want to see a
full-throated, Noam Chomsky-style denunciation of U.S. imperialism from
Sanders — and they want to see it yesterday.
Interestingly, in 1985, Sanders invited Chomsky to speak in Burlington City Hall, introducing
him to the crowd as “a very vocal and important voice in the wilderness
of intellectual life in America” and saying he was “delighted to
welcome a person who I think we’re all very proud of.” In 2016, when I interviewed
Chomsky for my Al Jazeera English show, UpFront, the veteran
philosopher and foreign policy critic heaped praise on Sanders as a
“decent, honest” politician with “the best policies.”
I ask Sanders if, three decades later,
he still agrees with Chomsky’s blistering critique of U.S. foreign
policy across the board, including his provocative description of the
United States as a “rogue state.”
Sanders cuts me off before I can
finish my question. “OK, I get it. Noam Chomsky has played an
extraordinarily important role. I am a United States senator. We live in
different worlds.” He quickly — and conveniently — changes the subject.
“Bottom line is I think we need to rethink foreign policy … and that
means dealing with issues like income and wealth inequality, which is
not only an American issue, it is a horrific global issue.”
Sanders is
now in his element and on a roll. “We have six of the wealthiest people
who have more wealth than the bottom half of the world’s population. We
need to deal with the issue of climate change, because if we don’t get
our act together internationally on that, we may not have much of a
planet left for our children and our grandchildren.”
Let’s be clear: On foreign policy,
Sanders does not go as far in a left-wing direction as his old friend
Noam Chomsky or even his U.K. counterpart Jeremy Corbyn. But his renewed
interest in foreign policy and his willingness to break with the
established consensus could be among his most radical acts yet.
“Where we’ve got to be radical,” Sanders tells me, “is to understand
that we cannot continue with simply using military as a means of
addressing foreign policy issues. Where we have got to be radical and
forceful, in an unprecedented way, is to force debate and discussion on
the causes of international conflict – and certainly, we have not been
doing that, and we need more American leadership to do that.”
ALWAYS HOPE FOR A BETTER FUTURE! Follow the News with an open mind. Never stop asking to find out the truth! Criticisms / Disagreements lead to a better future. Participation of all is the key. This page is also a way to improve your English. Be critical of the current president
Showing posts with label Foreign Policy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Foreign Policy. Show all posts
Saturday
Friday
President Obama and Prime Minister Trudeau of Canada in Joint Press Conference (Video/Transcrip)
Rose Garden
As I said earlier, this visit reflects something we Americans don’t always say enough, and that is how much we value our great alliance and partnership with our friends up north. We’re woven together so deeply -- as societies, as economies -- that it’s sometimes easy to forget how truly remarkable our relationship is. A shared border -- more than 5,000 miles -- that is the longest between any two nations in the world. Every day, we do some $2 billion in trade and investment -- and that's the largest bilateral economic relationship in the world. Every day, more than 400,000 Americans and Canadians cross the border -- workers, businesspeople, students, tourists, neighbors. And, of course, every time we have a presidential election, our friends to the north have to brace for an exodus of Americans who swear they’ll move to Canada if the guy from the other party wins. (Laughter.) But, typically, it turns out fine. (Laughter.)
This is now my second meeting with Justin. I’m grateful that I have him as a partner. We've got a common outlook on what our nations can achieve together. He campaigned on a message of hope and of change. His positive and optimistic vision is inspiring young people. At home, he’s governing with a commitment to inclusivity and equality. On the world stage, his country is leading on climate change and he cares deeply about development. So, from my perspective, what’s not to like?
Of course, no two nations agree on everything. Our countries are no different. But in terms of our interests, our values, how we approach the world, few countries match up the way the United States and Canada do. And given our work together today, I can say -- and I believe the Prime Minister would agree -- that when it comes to the central challenges that we face, our two nations are more closely aligned than ever.
We want to make it easier to trade and invest with one another. America is already the top destination for Canadian exports, and Canada is the top market for U.S. exports, which support about 1.7 million good-paying American jobs. When so many of our products, like autos, are built on both sides of the border in an integrated supply chain, this co-production makes us more competitive in the global economy as a whole. And we want to keep it that way.
So we’ve instructed our teams to stay focused on making it even easier for goods and people to move back and forth across the borders -- including reducing bottlenecks and streamlining regulations. We discussed how to move forward with the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and today we also reaffirmed our determination to move ahead with an agreement to pre-clear travelers through immigration and customs, making it even easier for Canadians and Americans to travel and visit and do business together.
As NATO allies, we’re united against the threat of terrorism. Canada is an extraordinarily valued member of the global coalition fighting ISIL -- tripling its personnel to help train and advise forces in Iraq, stepping up its intelligence efforts in the region, and providing critical humanitarian support. We’re working closely together to prevent the flow of foreign fighters, and today, we agreed to share more information -- including with respect to our no-fly lists and full implementation of our entry/exit system -- even as we uphold the privacy and civil liberties of our respective citizens.
In Syria, the cessation of hostilities has led to a measurable drop in violence in the civil war, and the United States and Canada continue to be leaders in getting humanitarian aid to Syrians who are in desperate need. Meanwhile, our two countries continue to safely welcome refugees from that conflict. And I want to commend Justin and the Canadian people once again for their compassionate leadership on this front.
I’m especially pleased to say the United States and Canada are fully united in combating climate change. As the first U.S. President to visit the Arctic, I saw how both of our nations are threatened by rising seas, melting permafrost, disappearing glaciers and sea ice. And so we are focusing on making sure the Paris agreement is fully implemented, and we’re working to double our investments in clean energy research and development.
Today, we’re also announcing some new steps. Canada is joining us in our aggressive goal to bring down methane emissions in the oil and gas sectors in both of our countries, and together we’re going to move swiftly to establish comprehensive standards to meet that goal. We’re also going to work together to phase down HFCs and to limit carbon emissions from international aviation. We’re announcing a new climate and science partnership to protect the Arctic and its people. And later this year, I’ll welcome our partners, including Canada, to our White House Science Ministerial on the Arctic to deepen our cooperation in this vital region.
We’re also grateful for Canada’s partnership as we renew America’s leadership across the hemisphere. Mr. Prime Minister, I want to thank you for Canada’s continuing support for our new chapter of engagement with the Cuban people, which I will continue with my upcoming visit to Cuba next week. We’re going to work to help Colombia achieve peace and remove the deadly legacy of landmines there. And our scientists and public health professionals will work with partners across the hemisphere to prevent the spread of the Zika virus and work together actively for diagnostic and vaccines that can make a real difference.
And finally, our shared values -- our commitment to human development and the dignity of all people -- continue to guide our work as global partners. Through the Global Health Security Agenda, we’re stepping up our efforts to prevent outbreaks of diseases from becoming epidemics. We are urgently working to help Ethiopia deal with the worst drought in half a century. Today, our spouses, Michelle and Sophie, are reaffirming our commitment to the health and education of young women and girls around the world. And Canada will be joining our Power Africa initiative to bring electricity -- including renewable energy -- to homes and businesses across the continent and help lift people out of poverty. And those are our values at work.
So, again, Justin, I want to thank you for your partnership. I believe we’ve laid a foundation for even greater cooperation for our countries for years to come. And I’d like to think that it is only the beginning. I look forward to welcoming you back for the Nuclear Security Summit in a few weeks. I’m pleased that we were able to announce that the next North American Leaders Summit that will be in Canada this summer. The Prime Minister has invited me to address the Canadian parliament, and that's a great honor. I look forward to the opportunity to speak directly to the Canadian people about the extraordinary future that we can build together.
Prime Minister Trudeau.
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU: Thank you, Mr. President.
Good morning, everyone. It's an honor to be here. As I've reflected on the storied relationship between our two great countries, I constantly return to President Kennedy’s wise words on our friendship that, “what unites us is far greater than what divides us.” And as President Obama mentioned earlier, if geography made us neighbors, then shared values made us kindred spirits, and it is our choices, individually and collectively, that make us friends.
That friendship, matched by much hard work, has allowed us to do great things throughout our history -- from the beaches of Normandy to the free trade agreement, and now, today, on climate change. The President and I share a common goal: We want a clean-growth economy that continues to provide good jobs and great opportunities for all of our citizens. And I’m confident that, by working together, we’ll get there sooner than we think.
Let’s take the Paris agreement, for example. That agreement is both a symbolic declaration of global cooperation on climate change, as well as a practical guide for growing our economies in a responsible and sustainable way. Canada and the U.S. have committed to signing the agreement as soon as possible. We know that our international partners expect and, indeed, need leadership from us on this issue.
The President and I have announced today that we’ll take ambitious action to reduce methane emissions nearly by half from the oil and gas sector, reduce use and emissions of hydrofluorocarbons, and implement aligned greenhouse gas emission standards for heavy-duty vehicles, amongst other plans to fight climate change.
(As interpreted from French.) We also announced a new partnership aiming to develop a sustainable economy in the Arctic. This partnership foresees new standards based on scientific data, from fishing in the high seas of the Arctic, as well as set new standards to ensure maritime transport with less emissions. The partnership will also promote sustainable development in the region, in addition to putting the bar higher in terms of preserving the biodiversity in the Arctic.
We have also decided to make our borders both more open and more safe by agreeing of pre-clearing at the Billy Bishop Airport in Toronto and the Jean Lesage Airport in Quebec, as well as the railroad stations in Montreal and Vancouver. Moreover, we’re creating a U.S.-Canada working group in the next 60 days on the recourses to assess how we will resolve errors of identity on the no-fly list.
(Speaks English.) The President and I acknowledge the fundamental and wholly unique economic relationship between Canada and the United States. We have, historically, been each other’s largest trading partners. Each and every day, over $2.4 billion worth of goods and services cross the border. Today, we reaffirmed our commitment to streamlining trade between our countries.
Overall, the President and I agree on many things, including, of paramount importance, the direction we want to take our countries in to ensure a clean and prosperous future. We’ve made tremendous progress on many issues. Unfortunately, I will leave town with my beloved Expos still here in Washington. You can’t have everything. (Laughter.)
I’d like to conclude by extending my deepest thanks to Barack for his leadership on the climate change file to date. I want to assure the American people that they have a real partner in Canada. Canada and the U.S. will stand side by side to confront the pressing needs that face not only our two countries, but the entire planet.
I’m very much looking forward to the remainder of my time here in Washington. So thank you again for your leadership and your friendship. I know that our two countries can achieve great things by working together as allies and as friends, as we have done so many times before.
Merci beaucoup, Barack.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: All right, we’re going to take a few questions. We’ll start with Julie Davis.
Q Thank you, Mr. President. I want to ask you about the Supreme Court. You’ve already said you’re looking for a highly qualified nominee with impeccable credentials. Can you give us a sense of what other factors you’re considering in making your final choice? How much of this comes down to a gut feeling for you? And does it affect your decision to know that your nominee is very likely to hang out in the public eye without hearings or a vote for a long time, or maybe ever? And, frankly, shouldn’t that be driving your decision if you’re asking someone to put themselves forward for this position as this point?
For Prime Minister Trudeau, I wanted to ask you -- we know you’ve been following our presidential campaign here in the U.S. As the President alluded to, you’ve even made a joke about welcoming Americans who might be frightened of a Donald Trump presidency to your country. What do you think the stakes are for you and for the relationship between Canada and the United States if Donald Trump or Ted Cruz were to win the presidency and to succeed President Obama? You obviously see eye-to-eye with him on a lot of issues. What do you think -- how would it affect the relationship if one of them were to succeed President Obama? Thank you.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: Even though it wasn’t directed to me, let me just -- (laughter) -- I do want to point out I am absolutely certain that, in 2012, when there was the possibility that I might be reelected there were folks who were threatening to go to Canada, as well. And one of the great things about a relationship like Canada’s and the United States’ is it transcends party and it’s bipartisan in terms of the interest that we share.
With respect to the Supreme Court, I’ve told you, Julie, what I’m looking for. I want somebody who is an outstanding jurist, who has impeccable legal credentials, who, by historical standards, would not even be questioned as qualified for the Court.
Obviously, it’s somebody who I want to make sure follows the Constitution; cares about things like stare decisis and precedent; understands the necessary humility of a judge at any level in looking at statute, looking at what the elected branches are doing; is not viewing themselves as making law or, in some ways, standing above elected representatives, but also recognizes the critical role that that branch plays in protecting minorities to ensuring that the political system doesn’t skew in ways that systematically leave people out, that are mindful of the traditions that are embedded in our cherished documents like the Bill of Rights.
So in terms of who I select, I’m going to do my job. And then my expectation is going to be that the Senate do its job as outlined in the Constitution. I’ve said this before -- I find it ironic that people who are constantly citing the Constitution would suddenly read into the Constitution requirements, norms, procedures that are nowhere to be found there. That’s precisely the kinds of interpretive approach that they have vehemently rejected and that they accused liberals of engaging in all the time. Well, you can’t abandon your principles -- if, in fact, these are your principles -- simply for the sake of political expedience.
So we’ll see how they operate once a nomination has been made. I’m confident that whoever I select, among fair-minded people will be viewed as an eminently qualified person. And it will then be up to Senate Republicans to decide whether they want to follow the Constitution and abide by the rules of fair play that ultimately undergird our democracy and that ensure that the Supreme Court does not just become one more extension of our polarized politics.
If and when that happens, our system is not going to work. It’s not that the Supreme Court or any of our courts can be hermetically sealed from the rest of our society. These are human beings. They read the newspapers; they’ve got opinions; they’ve got values. But our goal is to have them be objective and be able to execute their duties in a way that gives everybody -- both the winning party and the losing party in any given case -- a sense that they were treated fairly. That depends on a process of selecting and confirming judges that is perceived as fair. And my hope is, is that cooler heads will prevail and people will reflect on what’s at stake here once a nomination is made.
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU: One of the things that is abundantly clear whenever a President and Prime Minister sit down to engage on important issues of relevance to our peoples is that the relationship, the friendship between our two countries goes far beyond any two individuals or any ideologies.
I have tremendous confidence in the American people, and look forward to working with whomever they choose to send to this White House later this year.
Alex.
Q Good morning. This meeting is happening at a unique point in the Canada-U.S. relationship. President Obama, you have very little time left here. Prime Minister Trudeau, you have several years to think about and work on Canada’s most important relationship. So I’d like to ask you a longer-term question, maybe to lay down some markers about big ideas, big things that you think the two countries could achieve in the coming years, beyond the next few months, and whether those things might include something like a common market that would allow goods and services and workers to flow more freely across our border.
And on a more personal note, you’ve had a chance to observe each other’s election campaigns and now you’ve had a chance to work together a little bit. I’d like to ask you for your impressions -- to ask about your impression of President Obama and his potential legacy, and about Prime Minister Trudeau’s potential. And if you could answer that in French, bonus points to either of you -- (laughter) -- but we’d be especially keen to hear Prime Minister Trudeau do so. Thank you.
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU: Thank you, Alex. First of all, we very much did engage on big issues throughout our conversations and throughout our hard work this morning, and over the months leading up to this meeting today -- issues that are of import not just to all of our citizens but to the entire world.
Whether it’s how we ensure that there is no contradiction between a strong economy and a protected environment; understand how we need to work together as individual countries but, indeed, as a planet to address the challenges of climate change; how we continue to seek to ensure security for our citizens here at home, but also create stability and opportunity and health security for people around the world facing pandemics and violence and issues -- these are big issues that Canada and the U.S. have always been engaged on in various ways over the past decades and centuries, and, indeed, will continue to.
One of the things that we highlight is the fact that we have different scales, different perspectives on similar issues and on shared values is actually a benefit in that we can complement each other in our engagement with the world and our approach to important issues.
So I look forward to many, many, many more years -- it will certainly outlive the both of us -- of a tremendous and responsible and effective friendship and collaboration between our two countries.
(As interpreted from French.) The topic of our discussions this morning has been what is at stake -- climate change, security in the world, our commitments towards the most vulnerable populations. Canada and the United States are the lucky countries in many ways -- they will always have a lot to do in order to be together in the world. And this is what we are going to keep on doing in the years and the decades to come, and we hope in the centuries to come.
About President Obama, I’ve learned a lot from him. He is somebody who is a deep thinker. He is somebody with a big heart but also a big brain. And for me to be able to count on him as a friend who has lived through many of the things that I’m about to encounter on a political stage, on the international stage, it’s a great comfort to me. And it is always great to have people that you can trust, people that you can count on personally, especially when you are facing very big challenges such as what we are doing right now in the United States and Canada.
(Speaks English.) -- always pleased to hear from President Obama how he has engaged with difficult issues of the past, because he is a man of both tremendous heart and tremendous intellect. And being able to draw on his experience and his wisdom as I face the very real challenges that our countries and, indeed, our world will be facing in the coming years is something I appreciate deeply about my friend, Barack.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: Well, Alex, was it?
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU: Alex.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: Let me just note, first of all, that the tenor of your question seems to imply that I’m old and creaky. (Laughter.)
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU: Not the tenor of my answer, I hope. (Laughter.)
PRESIDENT OBAMA: No, you managed it well. (Laughter.) But don’t think I didn’t catch that. It is true -- I think I’ve said before that in my congratulatory call, I indicated to him that if, in fact, you plan to keep your dark hair, then you have to start dyeing it early. (Laughter.) You hit a certain point and it’s too late -- you’ll be caught.
But look, I think Justin and his delegation -- because one of the things we learn very rapidly in these jobs is, is that this is a team effort and not a solo act -- they’re bringing the right values, enormous energy, enormous passion and commitment to their work, and perhaps most importantly, it’s clear that they are keenly interested in engaging Canadian citizens in the process of solving problems.
And I think that's how democracies are supposed to work. And their instincts are sound. And that's reflected in the positive response to the work that they’ve done so far, and I think that will carry them very far. And Justin’s talent and concern for the Canadian people and his appreciation of the vital role that Canada can play in the larger world is self-apparent. He is, I think, going to do a great job. And we're looking forward to partnering with him and we're glad to have him and his team as a partner.
And with respect to big ideas, look, to some degree, you don't fix what’s not broken. And the relationship is extraordinary and doesn’t, I don't think, need some set of revolutionary concepts.
What it does require is not taking the relationship for granted. It does require steady effort. And perhaps most importantly, it requires, because we have so much in common, that we recognize on the big, looming issues on the horizon, it is vital for us to work together because the more aligned we are, the more we can shape the international agenda to meet these challenges.
Climate change is such an example. This is going to be a big problem for everybody. There are countries that are going to be hit worse by it; in some ways, Canada and the United States, as wealthier countries, can probably adapt and manage better. On the other hand, we're also those responsible for a lot of the carbon pollution that is causing climate change. If we don't agree, if we're not aggressive, if we're not far-sighted, if we don't pool our resources around the research and development and clean energy agenda that's required to solve this problem, then other countries won't step up and it won't get solved. That's a big idea. That's a really important effort.
With respect to the economy, one of the things that Canada and the United States share is a commitment to a free market. I believe, and I know Justin does as well, that a market-based economy not only has proven to be the greatest engine for prosperity the world has ever known, but also underwrites our individual freedoms in many ways. And we value our business sector, and we value entrepreneurship. But what we're seeing across the developed world -- and this will have manifestations in the developing world -- is the need for more inclusion in growth, making sure that it's broad-based, making sure that people are not left behind in a globalized economy. And that's a big idea for the United States and Canada to work together on, along with our other partners.
If we don't get this right, if we do not make sure that the average Canadian or the average American has confidence that the fruits of their labor, the opportunities for their children are going to continue to expand over time, if they see societies in which a very few are doing better and better and the middle class and working people are falling further and further behind, that destabilizes the economy; it makes it less efficient; it makes it less rapid in its growth. But it also starts destabilizing our politics and our democracies.
And so, working together to find effective ways -- not to close off borders, not to pretend that somehow we can shut off trade, not to forget that we are, ourselves, nations of immigrants and that diversity is our strength -- but rather to say, yes, the world is big and we are going to help shape it, and we’re going to value our openness and our diversity, and the fact that we are leaders in a global supply chain but we’re going to do so in ways that make sure everybody benefits -- that’s important work that we’re going to have to do together. And I know Justin shares that commitment just as I do.
Margaret Brennan.
Q Thank you, Mr. President. Some of your critics have pointed to the incredibly polarized political climate under your administration as contributing to the rise of someone as provocative as Donald Trump. Do you feel responsibility for that, or even some of the protectionist rhetoric from some Democratic candidates? Do you have a timeline for when you might make a presidential endorsement? And to follow on my colleague’s question here, do you feel political heat is constraining your pool of viable Supreme Court nominees? Thank you.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: It’s a three-fer. I think it’s important for me to nominate a Supreme Court nominee quickly because I think it’s important for the Supreme Court to have its full complement of justices. I don’t feel constrained in terms of the pool to draw from or that I’m having to take shortcuts in terms of the selection and vetting process.
With respect to your first question, I’ve actually heard this argument a number of times. I have been blamed by Republicans for a lot of things, but being blamed for their primaries and who they’re selecting for their party is novel. (Laughter.)
Look, I’ve said -- I said it at the State of the Union that one of my regrets is the degree to which polarization and the nasty tone of our politics has accelerated rather than waned over the course of the last seven and a half years. And I do all kinds of soul-searching in terms of are there things I can do better to make sure that we’re unifying the country. But I also have to say, Margaret, that, objectively, it’s fair to say that the Republican political elites and many of the information outlets -- social media, news outlets, talk radio, television stations -- have been feeding the Republican base for the last seven years a notion that everything I do is to be opposed; that cooperation or compromise somehow is a betrayal; that maximalist, absolutist positions on issues are politically advantageous; that there is a “them” out there and an “us,” and “them” are the folks who are causing whatever problems you’re experiencing.
And the tone of that politics -- which I certainly have not contributed to -- I don’t think that I was the one to prompt questions about my birth certificate, for example. I don’t remember saying, hey, why don’t you ask me about that. (Laughter.) Or why don’t you question whether I’m American, or whether I’m loyal, or whether I have America’s best interests at heart -- those aren’t things that were prompted by any actions of mine.
And so what you’re seeing within the Republican Party is, to some degree, all those efforts over a course of time creating an environment where somebody like a Donald Trump can thrive. He’s just doing more of what has been done for the last seven and a half years.
And, in fact, in terms of his positions on a whole range of issues, they’re not very different from any of the other candidates. It’s not as if there’s a massive difference between Mr. Trump’s position on immigration and Mr. Cruz’s position on immigration. Mr. Trump might just be more provocative in terms of how he says it, but the actual positions aren’t that different. For that matter, they’re not that different from Mr. Rubio’s positions on immigration -- despite the fact that both Mr. Cruz and Mr. Rubio, their own families are the products of immigration and the openness of our society.
So I am more than happy to own the responsibility as President, as the only office holder who was elected by all the American people, to continue to make efforts to bridge divides and help us find common ground. As I’ve said before, I think that common ground exists all across the country. You see it every day in how people work together and live together and play together and raise their kids together. But what I’m not going to do is to validate some notion that the Republican crack-up that’s been taking place is a consequence of actions that I’ve taken.
And what’s interesting -- I’ll just say one last thing about this -- there are thoughtful conservatives who are troubled by this, who are troubled by the direction of their party. I think it is very important for them to reflect on what it is about the politics they’ve engaged in that allows the circus we’ve been seeing to transpire, and to do some introspection.
Because, ultimately, I want an effective Republican Party. I think this country has to have responsible parties that can govern, and that are prepared to lead and govern whether they’re in the minority or in the majority, whether they occupy the White House or they do not. And I’ve often said I want a serious, effective Republican Party -- in part to challenge some of the blind spots and dogmas in the Democratic Party. I think that’s useful.
You mentioned trade, for example. I believe that there have been bad trade deals on occasion in the past that oftentimes they have served the interests of global corporations but not necessarily served the interests of workers. But I’m absolutely persuaded that we cannot put up walls around a global economy, and that to sell a bill of goods to the American people and workers that if you just shut down trade somehow your problems will go away prevents us from actually solving some of these big problems about inequality and the decline of our manufacturing base and so on.
And that’s an area where some traditional conservatives and economists have had some important insights. But they can’t be presented effectively if it’s combined with no interest in helping workers, and busting up unions, and providing tax breaks to the wealthy rather than providing help to folks who are working hard and trying to pay the bills. And it certainly is not going to be heard if it’s coupled with vehement, anti-immigrant sentiment that betrays our values.
Okay?
Q And an endorsement, sir?
PRESIDENT OBAMA: I think that the Democratic voters are doing just fine working this out. I think it’s useful that we’ve had a vigorous debate among two good people who care deeply about our country and who have fought hard on behalf of working people in this country for a long time. I think it’s been a good conversation. And my most important role will be to make sure that after primaries is done I’m bringing everybody together so that we focus on winning the general election.
Q Mr. President, I'll be asking the Prime Minister my question in French, but I will repeat for you in English afterwards.
(As interpreted.) Mr. Trudeau, you have not talked about softwood lumber, and it's a major problem for the bilateral relations. Have you thought about solutions to avoid -- the conflict reopens in October. And you signed several agreements -- trade, environment -- but what can you do so that the implementations survive the November election and that all of this has to be restarted a year from now?
(Asks in English.) -- softwood lumber, which is looming over the bilateral relation? And has any avenue been explored into avoiding a new conflict in October? And to what extent is the fear of losing seats for the Democrats due to this issue kind of hampering progress on this? And that being said, you and Prime Minister Trudeau have signed a number of agreements on a number of issues. What can be done for this progress not to be lost with the arrival of a new administration and have everything have to be started all over again?
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU: (As interpreted.) For months and months, we have been preparing the meeting. And this morning, we worked very hard and we made a lot of progress, and we have showed what is at stake. A lot is at stake. And we hope that this is going to be solved shortly to help enormously not only Canadian workers and Canadian economy, but also the economy of both our countries.
And among these discussions, of course, we raised the question of softwood lumber. We keep on working on that. And I'm totally confident that we are on the right track towards a solution in the next weeks and months to come.
Now, in terms of the decisions that we have taken and the work we have done today, I'm extremely confident that what we have managed to achieve, the agreements that we have taken and the solutions that we have found for the problems that we face together, I'm confident that all this is going to become a reality. Because at every stage, not only are we talking about what is good for one side or the other side, but we're talking about what is good for both countries. Our economies are so interwoven, our populations are so interconnected, that we are going to have agreement, for instance, that will facilitate crossing of borders while increasing security of our citizens. This is good for both sides. And it is where we worked so hard together. There was a lot of progress and a lot of success today.
(Speaks in English.) -- on many different issues over the course of an extremely productive meeting this morning -- issues that have been worked on intensely by our respective friends, colleagues and delegations over the past weeks and months. And certainly softwood lumber came up. And I'm confident that we are on a track towards resolving this irritant in the coming weeks and months.
But in general, the issues that we made tremendous progress on I'm extremely confident will move forward in a rapid and appropriate fashion because we found such broad agreement on issues that aren't just good for one of our two countries, but indeed both of our countries. Canadians and Americans, for their jobs, for our kids and their futures, for workers, businesses, as we tackle challenges on the economy, challenges on the environment, and understand that working together in constructive, productive ways is exactly what this relationship and, indeed, this friendship is all about.
So I'm feeling extremely good about the hard work that was done this morning, and indeed, about the work remaining to do over the coming weeks and months on the issues we brought forward today.
PRESIDENT OBAMA: This issue of softwood lumber will get resolved in some fashion. Our teams are already making progress on it. It's been a longstanding bilateral irritant, but hardly defines the nature of the U.S.-Canadian relationship. And we have some very smart people, and they’ll find a way to resolve it -- undoubtedly, to the dissatisfaction of all parties concerned, because that’s the nature of these kinds of things, right? Each side will want 100 percent, and we’ll find a way for each side to get 60 percent or so of what they need, and people will complain and grumble, but it will be fine. (Laughter.)
And in terms of continuity -- one thing I will say -- this is an area where I’ll play the elder statesman, as Alex described me. (Laughter.) And as somebody who came in after an administration that, politically, obviously saw things very differently than I did, what you discover is that for all the differences you may have in your political parties, when you’re actually in charge, then you have to be practical, and you do what is needed to be done and what’s in front of you. And one of the things that is important for the United States, or for Canada, or for any leading power in the world, is to live up to its commitments and to provide continuing momentum on efforts, even if they didn’t start under your administration.
So there were a whole host of initiatives that began under the Bush administration -- some that I was very enthusiastic about, like PEPFAR, that has saved millions of lives and prevented HIV/AIDS, or provided vital drugs to those already infected with HIV/AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa and other parts of the world -- something that President Bush deserves enormous credit for. We continued that.
But there are also some areas where, when I was outside the government, I questioned how they were approaching it. I might have tweaked it. To the extent that it involved foreign policy, I might say to my foreign policy partners, look, we have a problem of doing it this way, but here is a suggestion for how we can do the same thing, or meet your interests in a slightly different way.
But you’re always concerned about making sure that the credibility of the United States is sustained, or the credibility of Canada is sustained -- which is why when there’s turnover in governments, the work that’s been done continues. And particularly when you have a close friendship and relationship with a partner like Canada, it’s not as if the work we’re doing on the Arctic or on entry and exit visas vanishes when the next President comes in. Of course, I intend to make sure that the next President who comes in agrees with me on everything. (Laughter.) But just in case that doesn’t happen, the U.S.-Canadian relationship will be fine.
All right? Thank you, everybody. (Applause.)
Thursday
Obama's miscalculation
Source:
Al Jazeera
And the greater lesson from the Middle East.
President Barack Obama, who by any measure is a smart and shrewd politician, must be feeling rather foolish nowadays. Not only have his predictions proved wrong about Iraq and al-Qaeda, but, under his watch, America is also being drawn back into the Iraq quagmire three years after it withdrew.
The president was all optimistic when he secured US withdrawal from Iraq in 2011. But his claim of "extraordinary achievement", of leaving behind a "sovereign, stable and self-reliant Iraq", was soon shown to be, at best, wishful thinking - indeed a grave error.
Despite retaining eyes and ears on the Iraqi ground, the advance of the Islamic State group, over the last few months has clearly taken Washington by surprise. It's yet another terrible failure of US intelligence services.
How much of this can be said to be Obama's fault? Of course, he cannot be blamed for the follies of his predecessor, nor is he responsible for half a century of foreign policy that compromised America's values in favour of its short-term interests.
Still, the president does share major responsibility for the present failures after serving five years in office.
Obama might be careful, calculating and nuanced, but his foreign policy has produced one blowback after another from Libya to Afghanistan through Iraq and Syria.
Obama's mistakes
Miscalculation and myopia have seemingly marked the execution of the Obama doctrine of leading from far and behind.
Four major miscalculations stand out:
| Inside Story - Islamic State 'beheading': A challenge to US? |
In effect, President Obama wasted a historic mandate granted by the American people to "un-Bush" America's foreign policy by ending the hawkish unilateral militarism.
Second, Obama was right to downsize US regional commitments and lower regional expectations, but he did not help bring about multilateral alternative to US influence.
Obama lectured US allies and global powers about why they need to a play greater role in regional affairs, while preserving the US military and strategic dominance in the Middle East. In other words, as Washington projects overwhelming power from the Mediterranean to the Gulf - but forgoes its strategic commitments there - expect more not less trouble in the explosive region.
In that way the fragmentation of Iraq that started with the US invasion in 2003, has only escalated with US withdrawal in 2011. The same goes for the likes of Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Libya etc.
Third, President Obama might have succeeded in tracing and killing Osama Bin Laden, but he has grossly underestimated the consequences of further decentralisation of al-Qaeda Central that Bin Laden once commanded on the borders of Afghanistan/Pakistan.
Only a few months ago, the president offered a blithe basketball analogy in response to questions about the rise and proliferation of jihadi groups affiliated with al-Qaeda: "If a JV team puts on Lakers uniforms that doesn't make them Kobe Bryant."
Alas, the Islamic State group has proved more powerful, more strategic and even deadlier than al-Qaeda Central, with far reaching ramifications for the US and its allies. Its leader, Al-Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, has outperformed Bin Laden and has become a rallying symbol for many al-Qaeda affiliates throughout the region.
Lastly, the Obama administration has misjudged the tenacity of its nemeses, just as it underestimated the dependency of its regional allies on its protection.
Obama's attempts to remove the White House, albeit partially, from the region's disputes, has left behind more than just a major strategic void. These are the conditions for a perfect storm, the eye of which is the void left by the US.
For example, the Obama administration remained conspicuously silent as Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki cracked down on his Sunni rivals, alienated the Kurds and undermined the unity of the country. This was made easier when the US media largely abandoned the country in an attempt at collective amnesia about the scars of the war.
The same goes for Syria. When Bashar Assad's regime was challenged by a popular revolt in 2011, Washington's allies looked to the US to intervene, preventing Assad from carrying out genocide against his own people, given that no other power had the capacity to do so. And of course the same goes for Washington's continued support for the Netanyahu government, as it expanded illegal settlements in Palestine and carried out a horrific offensive against Gaza.
The greater lesson
The lesson from all of these mishaps can be found, partly, in President Obama's own admission regarding Libya. In a recent interview with the New York Times, the president acknowledged that it was a mistake not to follow the war to dislodge Qaddafi with a real multilateral effort to stabilise the country and secure its unity.
Not so different from former Secretary of State Colin Powell's advice: if you break it, you own it.
| Islamic Group claims control of Raqqa province |
Once the can has been opened, it's been proven impossible to close. Removing Saddam Hussein opened the gates of sectarian hell in Iraq. Assassinating Bin Laden empowered new jihadist leaders to step in to take up the mantle of al-Qaeda.
Whether evil or benevolent, a superpower is also a system of patronage with many stakeholders dependent upon it. Failure to change, meet or manage their expectations is sure to make US' clients pricklier, less secure, and, as a consequence, less cooperative.
For all these reasons, the US must ensure a viable multilateral alternative to its hegemony in the Middle East. It must use its super-power status to empower allies and regional players to assume greater authority. Europe and the countries of the region should be invited to take part and emboldened to step up to the plate if there's a genuine attempt at extracting the US from the Middle East's challenges.
US deniability over its hegemony in the Middle East would've been terribly amusing if it weren't terribly tragic. It's bad enough to behave like an empire in the 21st century, but to act irresponsibly is far worse.
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Exclusive: NATO Chief Says "Our Concern Is that Russia Won't Stop"
BY Yochi Dreazen
Source: Foreign Policy
NATO's top official acknowledged in an interview that Russia's annexation of Crimea had "established certain facts on the ground" that would be difficult to change and said the military alliance was increasingly concerned that Moscow might also invade eastern Ukraine.
In the interview, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen told Foreign Policy that Russia's sudden conquest of Ukraine's Crimean peninsula was a "wake-up call" for the 28-member alliance, which had been established to counter potential Soviet aggression during the Cold War. Rasmussen said NATO was committed to protecting Poland and other Baltic members of the alliance from what he described as an increasingly aggressive and land-hungry Russian government.
Still, he said that it was too late to halt Crimea's absorption into Russia or return it to the control of Ukraine's fragile central government. NATO, Rasmussen said, was instead worried that Russia was turning its gaze further eastward and potentially preparing to seize other portions of Ukraine.
"Our concern is that Russia won't stop here," Rasmussen said. "There is a clear risk that Russia will go beyond Crimea and the next goal will be the eastern provinces of Ukraine."
A Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine, he added, "would have severe consequences." He declined to say what those might include, though, and stressed that NATO hadn't begun discussing any military options and wanted to de-escalate tensions with Russia rather than continuing down a path that could lead to an armed confrontation with Moscow.
Rasmussen's remarks come during at an unsettling time for the United States, Britain, and NATO's other 26 members. It was just weeks ago that Russian President Vladimir Putin was welcoming tens of thousands of tourists to Sochi for the Winter Olympics. Today, Putin is at the center of a tense showdown with President Obama that has plunged U.S.-Russian relations to their lowest levels in decades.
"More or less we took for granted that the Cold War belonged to the past," Rasmussen said. "And while I'm not yet ready to call recent incidents a new Cold War, there are of course similarities that remind us of old-fashioned Cold War attitudes on the Russian side, and that is a matter of concern."
Russia's invasion of Crimea has also focused new attention on NATO itself. Senior officials from both the Bush and Obama administrations have privately questioned its relevance in recent years and blasted the alliance's European members for slashing defense spending and effectively turning the continent's security over to the United States. European NATO members, in turn, have worried aloud that Obama's stated goal of reducing U.S. defense spending and focusing more attention on Asia meant that the administration was not as firmly committed to the alliance as its predecessors had been.
Rasmussen said he was working to reassure Poland and other nervous Baltic members of the alliance, who share borders with Russia and wonder if they will be Putin's next targets. The NATO chief said the alliance was committed to the defense of all of its members and would take strong, though unspecified, steps to protect the countries in the event of a Russian invasion. The Pentagon recently announced plans to move a dozen F-16s to Poland, and two NATO surveillance planes have begun flying over Poland and Romania to help the two countries better monitor their airspace and borders. Many Poles, though, say that the West isn't doing remotely enough to deter Putin.
The NATO chief acknowledged that the current crisis was NATO's biggest challenge in decades and cut to the heart of why the alliance had been created in the first place. Rasmussen said that he hoped it would lead European countries to sharply boost their defense spending, which he said had fallen to levels so low that they threatened the alliance's future effectiveness.
"This is a wake-up call and also a wake-up call when it comes to defense spending," he said in the interview, noting that some European countries had slashed their spending by up to 40 percent. "If this trend continues, European allies will not be able to provide effective deterrence and collective defense. This trend must be reversed."
Rasmussen, a former prime minister of Denmark, said the current crisis was "surreal" for him on a personal level.
"I grew up in the shadow of the wall and the Iron Curtain, and in a way I couldn't believe that it could be changed," he said. "Then suddenly, almost overnight, everything changed."
Now, he warned, things were at risk of changing again, this time for the worse.
"It is a Russian attempt to redraw the map and I would call it a kind of Russian revisionism which is unacceptable," he said. "It's not an acceptable behavior in the 21st century."
Source: Foreign Policy
NATO's top official acknowledged in an interview that Russia's annexation of Crimea had "established certain facts on the ground" that would be difficult to change and said the military alliance was increasingly concerned that Moscow might also invade eastern Ukraine.
In the interview, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen told Foreign Policy that Russia's sudden conquest of Ukraine's Crimean peninsula was a "wake-up call" for the 28-member alliance, which had been established to counter potential Soviet aggression during the Cold War. Rasmussen said NATO was committed to protecting Poland and other Baltic members of the alliance from what he described as an increasingly aggressive and land-hungry Russian government.
Still, he said that it was too late to halt Crimea's absorption into Russia or return it to the control of Ukraine's fragile central government. NATO, Rasmussen said, was instead worried that Russia was turning its gaze further eastward and potentially preparing to seize other portions of Ukraine.
"Our concern is that Russia won't stop here," Rasmussen said. "There is a clear risk that Russia will go beyond Crimea and the next goal will be the eastern provinces of Ukraine."
A Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine, he added, "would have severe consequences." He declined to say what those might include, though, and stressed that NATO hadn't begun discussing any military options and wanted to de-escalate tensions with Russia rather than continuing down a path that could lead to an armed confrontation with Moscow.
Rasmussen's remarks come during at an unsettling time for the United States, Britain, and NATO's other 26 members. It was just weeks ago that Russian President Vladimir Putin was welcoming tens of thousands of tourists to Sochi for the Winter Olympics. Today, Putin is at the center of a tense showdown with President Obama that has plunged U.S.-Russian relations to their lowest levels in decades.
"More or less we took for granted that the Cold War belonged to the past," Rasmussen said. "And while I'm not yet ready to call recent incidents a new Cold War, there are of course similarities that remind us of old-fashioned Cold War attitudes on the Russian side, and that is a matter of concern."
Russia's invasion of Crimea has also focused new attention on NATO itself. Senior officials from both the Bush and Obama administrations have privately questioned its relevance in recent years and blasted the alliance's European members for slashing defense spending and effectively turning the continent's security over to the United States. European NATO members, in turn, have worried aloud that Obama's stated goal of reducing U.S. defense spending and focusing more attention on Asia meant that the administration was not as firmly committed to the alliance as its predecessors had been.
Rasmussen said he was working to reassure Poland and other nervous Baltic members of the alliance, who share borders with Russia and wonder if they will be Putin's next targets. The NATO chief said the alliance was committed to the defense of all of its members and would take strong, though unspecified, steps to protect the countries in the event of a Russian invasion. The Pentagon recently announced plans to move a dozen F-16s to Poland, and two NATO surveillance planes have begun flying over Poland and Romania to help the two countries better monitor their airspace and borders. Many Poles, though, say that the West isn't doing remotely enough to deter Putin.
The NATO chief acknowledged that the current crisis was NATO's biggest challenge in decades and cut to the heart of why the alliance had been created in the first place. Rasmussen said that he hoped it would lead European countries to sharply boost their defense spending, which he said had fallen to levels so low that they threatened the alliance's future effectiveness.
"This is a wake-up call and also a wake-up call when it comes to defense spending," he said in the interview, noting that some European countries had slashed their spending by up to 40 percent. "If this trend continues, European allies will not be able to provide effective deterrence and collective defense. This trend must be reversed."
Rasmussen, a former prime minister of Denmark, said the current crisis was "surreal" for him on a personal level.
"I grew up in the shadow of the wall and the Iron Curtain, and in a way I couldn't believe that it could be changed," he said. "Then suddenly, almost overnight, everything changed."
Now, he warned, things were at risk of changing again, this time for the worse.
"It is a Russian attempt to redraw the map and I would call it a kind of Russian revisionism which is unacceptable," he said. "It's not an acceptable behavior in the 21st century."
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