By Holger Stark
Source: Der Spiegel
John Kerry has spent months rushing from one conflict to the
next, but has little show for it. His failures are symptomatic of an
America that lacks a foreign policy identity -- and of a country that
seems uncomfortable with its role as a superpower.
In the Middle East, it doesn't take much to be branded a terrorist --
even if you are the US secretary of state. The week before last, John
Kerry spent several days traveling back and forth between Cairo,
Jerusalem and Ramallah in an effort to establish a cease-fire between
Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. But his efforts were not universally
appreciated. The Israeli daily
Haaretz reported that senior officials in Jerusalem described his cease-fire proposal as a "strategic terrorist attack."
The derisive comment came after Kerry presented what was essentially a
reasonable plan. It called for a temporary cessation of hostilities
during which negotiations for a long-term armistice could continue. But
instead of being appreciated, it was mocked. Jerusalem angrily rejected
the plan, saying it only catered to demands made by Hamas.
A short time later, things got even worse. Israel's Channel 1
broadcast the alleged transcript of an antagonistic telephone
conversation between US President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. It later turned out the transcript was a
fake.
When Kerry did finally manage to broker a 72-hour cease-fire at the
end of last week, the resulting hope was short-lived. Just three hours
into the suspension of hostilities, Hamas allegedly abducted an Israeli
soldier and
the cease-fire was history. Israel later announced that the soldier had been killed rather than abducted.
In recent days, global diplomacy has seemed like an absurd form of
theater, with John Kerry in the role of the tragic hero. He doesn't look
like the secretary of state from a world power,
Haaretz jeered,
but like "an alien who just disembarked his spaceship in the Mideast."
In speaking last week about the hostile atmosphere, Kerry vowed to keep
trying, saying: "None of us here are stopping."
The helplessness of the world's most important foreign minister shows just how little influence the US still has
in the Middle East. And with each failure, Washington's influence in the rest of the world erodes as well. A
civil war is raging in eastern Ukraine,
an agreement with Iran over its nuclear program is still a long way
off, Islamist terrorists now control large swaths of Iraq -- and the US
doesn't appear to be in a position to do anything about it.
Searching for a Role
Now, as secretary of state it is his task -- exactly 10 years after
he was nominated as the Democratic candidate for president, only to lose
to George W. Bush -- to mediate in large conflicts from Israel to Iran.
But as part of a government that is steering America away from its
traditional role as global hegemon, Kerry also embodies the dilemma of
the United States' global role in the 21st century: How successful can a
US foreign policy be Ãf it depends more on strong words than it does on
tanks and aircraft carriers?
On a Tuesday in spring, John Kerry appeared before the Senate
Committee on Foreign Relations to talk about the end of the Middle East
peace talks. Behind heavy brocade curtains that blocked out the
daylight, Kerry described a weekend spent waiting at home for Israel to
release a handful of Palestinian prisoners. The gesture of goodwill had
previously been agreed to and it was hoped the release would allow the
peace negotiations to continue. Hours went by and Kerry began to get
anxious. But the Israelis didn't release the prisoners; instead, they
announced settlement expansion. "Poof, that was the moment," Kerry said,
forming an imaginary explosion with his hands.
For a moment, Kerry seemed like a child whose toy had just broken. He
saw the peace process as his own personal project; he had spent months
in Ramallah, Tel Aviv, Qatar, Riyadh and Amman. He had wanted to force
through a deal and reshape the Middle East. And then things went "poof."
As usual, Kerry's appearance was impeccable, with his marine-blue
pinstriped suit and perfectly coiffed silver hair. The only blemishes
were the conspicuous rings under his eyes and the cough he had brought
home with him from one of his trips abroad. Kerry is intimately familiar
with the room where the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations meets. In
1971, he spoke out in opposition to the Vietnam War after receiving a
medal for bravery in recognition of his command of a boat in the Mekong
River delta. Later, Kerry himself chaired the committee for four years.
But during Kerry's testimony in spring, the Republicans were not
satisfied with Kerry's answer. "You can't help but get the impression
our foreign policy is just spinning out of control," said a Senator from
Idaho. His counterpart from Tennessee said, in reference to Syria: "You
have to be disappointed by the lack of action."
Then, John McCain took the floor, the Republican Party éminence grise
who sees military intervention as the solution to most problems, no
matter where and against whom. McCain demanded that the US help arm
Ukraine and then cited President Theodore Roosevelt's famous tenet to
"speak softly and carry a big stick," an approach that helped establish
the US as a global power at the beginning of the 20th century. "What
you're doing is talking strongly and carrying a very small stick, in
fact, a twig," McCain said.
A Divided Country
The conflict over where America is drifting currently counts among
the greatest debates being waged in Washington. Conservatives, such as
the political scientist Robert Kagan, have been the most vocal. Kagan
recently warned of a "collapse of global order" in an essay in the
New Republic.
It was titled "Superpowers Don't Get to Retire" and argued that only
American power can "keep the lid closed on ... Pandora's box." In its
most recent issue,
Foreign Policy magazine described the "path to national renaissance" and asks: "Have We Hit Peak America?"
The US remains the world's only superpower, but it is also on the
search for a new foreign policy identity. It is a country divided, torn
between what Kagan calls "world-weariness" and the craving for the
powerful role it once played.
Obama is a president of "retrenchment," the word Americans use to
describe their retreat from the foreign policy front. Obama didn't bomb
Syria, refused to send ground troops back into Iraq and opted not to
intervene when Russia annexed the Crimean Peninsula. "We are no longer
in a Cold War. There's no Great Game to be won," Obama said last autumn
in a speech to the United Nations. In a more recent address, he said:
"Just because we have the best hammer does not mean that every problem
is a nail." Thus, John Kerry's mission: to construct an effective
foreign policy without the help of a hammer.
"The president appreciates Kerry's tireless work ethic and
willingness to take diplomatic risks," says Obama's deputy security
advisor Ben Rhodes. Such qualities, he continues, are "well-suited to a
time when diplomacy has moved to the forefront of our foreign policy."
Hurrying from Crisis to Crisis
During his first 12 months in office, Kerry flew more than 300,000
miles across the globe, more than any of his predecessors at the State
Department. He made a state visit to China and traveled to Afghanistan
to help resolve a dispute over election results. On the weekend of the
World Cup final, he flew to Vienna for talks on the Iranian nuclear
program and a meeting with German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter
Steinmeier about the
espionage case
that has currently been weighing on German-American relations. Soon
after, he was in the Middle East in an attempt to stop the fighting.
Kerry is 70 years old. He and his wife Teresa Heinz -- an heir to
part of the Heinz Ketchup fortune -- own homes in Boston and Washington
D.C. in addition to a property in Pittsburgh and a summer house on
Nantucket. Heinz is thought to be worth a half billion dollars. When
travelling together, the couple flies in their own Gulfstream and bring
along a personal chef. Kerry could easily spend his time sailing with
his grandchildren and taking it easy.
Instead, he hurries from one crisis to the next, and his office now
only books appointments for him at the last minute. And yet, despite the
enormous workload, Kerry seems as though he has found his calling. "I
don't know how he does that," says David McKean.
McKean is Kerry's director of policy planning. His office is located
on the seventh floor of the State Department building; Roman columns
frame the gold gilded elevator. Kerry's offices are to the right,
through the security checkpoint while McKean's wing is to the left. The
two have known each other since Kerry was a junior prosecutor in
Massachusetts and McKean has been working for him since 1987, first as
his office manager in the Senate and then in his campaign team.
The Global Missionary
Kerry's role is different than that of his predecessor, Hillary
Clinton, McKean says. When Clinton became secretary of state in 2009,
America's image in the world was at an historical nadir and her mission,
McKean says, was that of making amends. Kerry, he continues, can build
on that, implementing phase two after the Bush years: the attempt at
influencing global politics without military interventions and
waterboarding. "Kerry knows in most countries one of the key players,
the head of state or the foreign minister," McKean says. "He uses these
contacts. As secretary of state, he is the right man at the right time."
Kerry has always seen himself as a kind of global missionary. As a
young senator, he flew to Manila to monitor elections there; in
Nicaragua, he convinced the Sandinistas to make concessions; later, he
investigated the involvement of Panamanian dictator Manuel Noriega in
the drug trade. Kerry is able to convince people with a combination of
charm, persistence and experience. He has an anecdote and a hug ready
for each of his guests. "He thinks he can make the difference," says
Douglas Frantz, one of his undersecretaries of state.
That helps explain Kerry's commitment to mediating between Israel and
the Palestinians. Though Obama already failed once in the attempt four
years ago, Kerry told SPIEGEL before he set off for his most recent
mission to the Middle East that making an effort at mediation is "in our
DNA as a country, and it's in our DNA as a friend to Israel." He
doesn't regret having tried. "I think everyone also understands that
someday, at some point, the parties will return to the peace process
because it's the only way to ever achieve any kind of lasting peace and
security and stability," Kerry says.
One of Kerry's tactics is to convince his counterparts that America
is their closest ally, but since the NSA spying affair, at the latest,
that approach hasn't worked particularly well. And when it comes to such
entrenched conflicts as that between Israel and the Palestinians, it
certainly won't suffice.
One day in May 2013, after speaking with Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas about the
conditions for an agreement between the two sides, Kerry had a
spontaneous idea: He had his delegation stop at a shawarma restaurant in
Ramallah. The staff rushed to serve him amid much excitement as Kerry,
dressed a dark suit with a strawberry-red tie, ordered a turkey
shawarma. "Man, this is good," he exulted as he ate.
The anecdote is a perfect illustration of Kerry's way of approaching
people, but the event in Ramallah causes unexpected ripples. Republicans
accuse Kerry of having shown too much support of the Palestinians while
Israelis say he's portraying himself as a savior. Since then, they have
snidely called him the shawarma diplomat.
At the height of last year's peace negotiations, Kerry spoke with his
partners in the Middle East almost every day over the phone -- often
early in the mornings or late at night from his villa in Georgetown over
an encrypted line. But when Kerry was travelling and under time
pressure, he sometimes used a normal telephone.
Tapped Phone
Several sources in the intelligence community have confirmed to
SPIEGEL that a large part of these discussions, which ran over satellite
uplinks, were listened in on by at least two intelligence services,
including that of the Israelis. The Chinese and the Russians were also
probably monitoring the calls. As a result, the Israelis often knew
exactly what Kerry had discussed with the other side. Kerry knew the
risk, but he wanted results -- and the conversations were more important
to him than his security people's concerns. Neither the Israelis nor
the State Department would comment on the phone monitoring.
The recordings allowed the Israelis to see through Kerry's diplomatic
balancing act. The more time he spent working as an intermediary, the
stronger their attacks became. Kerry has an "incomprehensible obsession
and a sense of messianism," Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon spat at the
beginning of this year. "The only thing that might save us is if John
Kerry wins the Nobel Prize and leaves us be."
Effective foreign policy, says Daniel Hamilton of Johns Hopkins
University in Washington, involves a savvy combination of "soft power"
and "hard power." Bill Clinton, he says, demonstrated this masterfully
in the 1990s, but Kerry lives in his plane and spends most of his time
trying to solve acute crises. "What he is lacking is a strategic vision.
And he is working with a president who is primarily concerned with
domestic issues."
Kerry is an old-school secretary of state. He sees America's role as
that of a hegemon and global mediator, and sometimes also as that of a
global policeman. But Obama has a different view of the world. He
doesn't want to intervene everywhere in the world and prefers to focus
on problems closer to home.
The Syria crisis has shown their contrasting worldviews in especially
stark relief. On a Friday in late August 2013, Kerry made a passionate
speech against Syria's use of chemical weapons in State Department. He
said that he knows Americans are tired of war, but "fatigue does not
absolve us of our responsibility."
It's about keeping a promise,
he said, that the "most heinous weapons must never again be used against
the world's most vulnerable people." They were the words of a field
marshal; it sounded as if Kerry had just given the order to fire off a
salvo of mid-range missiles.
Deep Disappointment
That evening, Obama invited his advisors into the Oval Office and
told them that no air strikes would take place without Congressional
approval, thus taking the military option off the table. The
announcement made Kerry look bad. And Obama didn't consult Kerry in
reaching his verdict; he merely informed him of his decision. Even so,
Kerry defended Obama's position afterwards as if it had been his own.
According to Obama advisor Ben Rhodes, the two men have a "close
relationship" but for observers, it is obvious that is not a friendship.
The two have, however, known each other for a long time. Indeed, one
could even say Kerry discovered Obama. When Kerry was running for
president 10 years ago, he asked the then widely unknown Democratic
politician from Illinois to speak at the Democratic National Convention.
The appearance made Barack Obama world famous, while Kerry's election
loss that year was extremely difficult for him. To describe it as
"deeply disappointing is an understatement," David McKean says.
Although Obama thanked Kerry for the opportunity to speak at the
convention, he made Hillary Clinton his first secretary of state and had
hoped to replace her with Susan Rice. Kerry only got the job because
Rice made misleading statements about the attack on the American
consulate in Libya in 2012, making herself politically untenable.
The relationship between the two men can be summed up in an encounter
that took place in October 2012. It was the height of the presidential
election campaign and Obama wanted Kerry to help him practice for a
crucial debate. Kerry was supposed to play Mitt Romney, Obama's
Republican rival, in a practice duel at a hotel in Virginia. Obama's
advisors had asked Kerry to annoy Obama as much as possible while he
spoke.
Kerry argued shrewdly, pushed the president around and cut in so many
times that Obama snarled that he didn't constantly want to be
interrupted. Ultimately Obama stood up and left the room, making it
clear that he thought Kerry's behavior was insolent. Kerry serves a
function for Obama, but he isn't part of the president's inner circle.
Because of the crisis in the Middle East, Kerry didn't have the time
to meet with SPIEGEL, but offered to answer questions in writing. One of
them was about whether a world could exist in which another power, like
China, took over America's role.
'More Engaged, Not Less'
"Never," the secretary of state answered, "and no one contemplates
the United States doing anything but leading." He compared the current
situation to the fall of the Berlin Wall and the breakup of the Soviet
Union, saying: "Back then, a lot of people thought America should just
take its peace divvidend and pull back from the world." But it was a
moment, he argues, that required America's leadership. The current
situation, he believes, is very similar -- a time in which the world is
"extraordinarily complicated" and that the US "must be more engaged, not
less."
Has the renunciation of military force lessened America's
international influence? Kerry rejects the premise: The US still uses
force as a threat, he argues, pointing to the Syrian chemical-weapons
agreement and the bombardment of Libya to save Libyans from being killed
by the regime as examples.
American politics are like a Hollywood film: History is written based
on results, there is always a winner and a loser. If Kerry is able to
reach an agreement with Iran or broker a deal between the Israelis and
the Palestinians, he will be considered by history to be a hero. But if
he doesn't accomplish anything, then he may become a symbol of the US's
political decline. It's possible that the great era of American
dominance has come to an end, and that a new geopolitical chapter will
begin -- a possibility that even the conservatives fear.
During Kerry's appearance before the Foreign Affairs Committee, he
was questioned by the Republicans for an hour, but remained unruffled.
In the end he turned to the right and looked directly at John McCain.
The two of them have known each other for 30 years, both men have fought
in Vietnam and both have run for, and failed to win, the presidency.
"Your friend Teddy Roosevelt," Kerry said to McCain, "also said the
credit belongs to the people who are in the arena trying to get things
done."